T0
Jun 15, 2026 · covers cold start
The board, set
Iran and Israel are exchanging strikes. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for eight weeks. The US president is compromised by two separate sets of kompromat that don't share goals.
TURNS · In order EX-26.06 · T0 → T10
In order
The eleven turns
Each turn page leads with a plain-English read of what happened — the headline, what changed, what notably didn't happen, what CASS argued, and what to watch for next. The federation's actual end-of-turn briefing sits in a collapsible underneath, in case you want the original. The arc runs from June 2026 through January 2029. Turn 10 covers just two months on the recommendation of the contrarian, because the actual cliff event — the January 6, 2029 electoral count and the January 20 inauguration question — sat five weeks past the standard interval boundary.
- T0 Jun 15, 2026 The board, set
- T1 Jul 20, 2026 First exchange
- T2 Aug 24, 2026 Things break loudly
- T3 Sep 28, 2026 The kompromat lands publicly
- T4 Nov 10, 2026 Midterm — opposition wins
- T5 Mar 31, 2027 Impeachment #4 fails
- T6 Sep 30, 2027 The wounded predator
- T7 Mar 1, 2028 Chronic crisis as the new normal
- T8 Aug 1, 2028 Primary cycle + DNC
- T9 Dec 1, 2028 The general election
- T10 Jan 31, 2029 Two inaugurations
T1
Jul 20, 2026 · covers ~5 weeks
First exchange
Israel strikes Iranian drone factories. Iran retaliates. The president shows his compromise for the first time — publicly supportive, quietly blocking what Russia would dislike. Federal paramilitary deploys into opposition cities.
T2
Aug 24, 2026 · covers ~5 weeks
Things break loudly
Israel hits Iranian nuclear facilities. Iran retaliates near-maximally. The president invokes the Insurrection Act; the military slow-walks it. The first piece of real kompromat reaches opposition lawyers through an allied service.
T3
Sep 28, 2026 · covers ~5 weeks
The kompromat lands publicly
The NORTHCOM commander is fired for refusing to deploy troops domestically. A rolling general strike sustains 1.5–3.5M people daily. Election administration splits between resisting and complicit states.
T4
Nov 10, 2026 · covers 1 week
Midterm — opposition wins
The opposition takes the House decisively and the Senate narrowly. Turnout is 30% above 2022. The president signals he'll refuse to seat some of the winners on January 3.
T5
Mar 31, 2027 · covers 20 weeks
Impeachment #4 fails
Senate trial gets to 55–58 of the 67 needed. Insurrection Act invoked against Compact cities; military slow-walks again. Iran tests a third nuclear weapon. China imposes a graduated quarantine on Taiwan.
T6
Sep 30, 2027 · covers ~6 months
The wounded predator
The president re-escalates from a weaker position. A second impeachment of the term gets introduced. Iran tests a fourth nuclear weapon. China escalates from quarantine to active enforcement.
T7
Mar 1, 2028 · covers ~5 months
Chronic crisis as the new normal
Second impeachment acquitted at the closest margin yet. Iran's fifth nuclear test. China seizes outer Taiwanese islands. The bank-failure risk that's been sitting offstage gets its own tracked variable.
T8
Aug 1, 2028 · covers ~5 months
Primary cycle + DNC
An opposition unity ticket emerges from a fractured field. The first American bank gets resolved by the FDIC. NORTHCOM mid-tier officers refuse — actually refuse — a third Insurrection Act invocation. The "has any state seceded?" question gets retired.
T9
Dec 1, 2028 · covers 4 months
The general election
Election held November 7. Opposition unity ticket wins the popular vote by 8–14M. The federal executive refuses to recognize the result. Fourth Insurrection Act invoked. The contrarian re-scopes turn 10 to cover the January cliff.
T10
Jan 31, 2029 · covers 2 months
Two inaugurations
January 6 produces no clean count. January 20 produces two inaugurations. The fifth Insurrection Act gets invoked and ignored. The Compact's parallel financial system crosses 50% of its commerce. Dual government, operative.
The other way to read this
Turns are sim-time order — which is how things actually happened, but not necessarily how you'd want to read about them if you have a specific question in mind. The threads are the other way: pick one concern — does the Compact secede? does Iran use a nuke? does the cascade tip over? — and read it across every turn it touches. THE COMPACT and THE CASCADE are both good worked examples.